Media vs Public Disconnect

The same formula run over two disjoint document sets: news media on one side, public social discourse on the other. The gap between them is the signal — and because both sides are computed identically, the subtraction actually means something.

Media

50.9

Public

50.6

Gap

+0.3

90-day percentile

64%

Media series: ~40 prestige-weighted news outlets. Public series: the Bluesky / Threads / Hacker News / YouTube basket. These are different populations measured by the same formula, not a like-for-like sample of one population. Both axes are fixed to 0–100.

Current regime: aligned

Media and public sentiment are currently aligned. The gap carries little information in this regime.

Descriptive statistic. Not investment advice. See /methodology#disconnect for validation status.

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